Are 100/1 winners good news? We all like to land a big gamble, but do big odds = big value Whilst researching the topic for this month’s blog, I came across this article. It’s from June 2021, but what it says is both interesting and, in many ways, timeless when it comes to our more »
Have you got “confirmation bias” The perils of fitting the evidence to suit your argument As shown in previous articles – if you click here and here – I do like a discussion about cognitive bias. In other words, the sub-conscious mind-games that our brain can play on us, and how these can trigger more »
The pros and cons of multiple bets The good, bad and ugly of perms, accumulators and multiples Many years ago… I worked with a professional horseracing gambler, who frequently put his bets into doubles, trebles, accumulators… all sorts. Not so much his public bets (he was operating a premium rate 0898 phoneline back then more »
The A-Z guide of Irish racecourses (Part 3) Learn all about the 26 flat, jumps and all-weather courses in Ireland In this post I wrap up our trip around the racecourses of Ireland. Not just serving up some of the best, and most picturesque, venues that racing can offer… but into the bargain a more »
The A-Z guide of Irish racecourses (Part 2) Learn all about the 26 flat, jumps and all-weather courses in Ireland We’ve already started to look at the first batch of Irish racecourses (click here to read Part 1) where we learned about the likes of Ballinrobe, Downpatrick, Cork and, of course, The Curragh. Along more »
The A-Z guide of Irish racecourses (Part 1) Learn all about the 26 flat, jumps and all-weather courses in Ireland Besides the racecourses that we’re familiar with in the UK – from Ascot to Aintree, Plumpton to Perth, Windsor to Warwick – there is of course a long and famous history of racing in more »
Explaining the “primacy effect” How this cognitive bias can improve your betting. Overnight. In an earlier post, I used an article by Terence Tau (click here) to discuss “recency bias” and how this mental process, often a subconscious act, can cause many backers to make the wrong decision about betting… and the betting services more »
Monthly subscriptions – good or bad? Thinking short-term can cost you long-term profits As you can imagine, I get involved in quite a lot of correspondence with members. Of course, I speak to many on the phone… but often’s the case that we swap opinions (or “argue” as some might see it!) via email. more »
So just what is value betting? We all know the term. But do we really know what it means. Value is a common phrase used in financial investment. Very often over-used, and just as often under-explained (or understood). In its simplest form a value bet is where a selection’s probability of occurring (a horse more »
Is a coin toss a 50/50 call? Contrary to popular belief, some say it’s no even money shot It’s amazing what you can find on the internet. Things which you thought were etched in stone. What you and I would call a “fact”. These are often dispelled, debunked, or at the very least discredited. more »