This week’s European & US golf betting tips

31 May 2014 - 17:45, by , in Golf, News, Comments off

Last week featured one of the main events on the European Tour, the PGA Championship, whilst in the States the Crown Plaza Invitational (formerly the Colonial) also attracted a strong field.

And in the end the cream rose to the top… wins for two major champions as Rory McIlroy (PGA) and Adam Scott (Crowne Plaza) lifted the respective winners trophies.

Reviewing the action here’s the latest facts, figures and golf betting tips.


Golf Betting Rory McIlroy wins at Wentworth… or does Thomas Bjorn lose?

Heading into the final day, the Dane Thomas Bjorn has built himself a commanding 5-shot lead over the chasing pack.

The tournament was his to lose as the Ryder Cup veteran traded at 1.47 in the win market ahead of R4 at Wentworth.

However, final round 75 saw him do just that – eventually finishing T3rd.

Rory McIlroy was the golfer to benefit.

Priced at 13 (12/1) on Sunday morning, the two-time major champion (US Open 2011, USPGA 2013) shot a final round 66, including a 5-under-par back nine of 32, to win the tournament.

A first win on the European PGA Tour since the World Tour Championship 2012.

Here’s the final leaderboad…

PGA Championship – Results

1. Rory McIlroy -14 12/1
2. Shane Lowry -13 125/1
3. Thomas Bjorn -12 70/1
3. Luke Donald -12 14/1
5. Simon Dyson -9 150/1
5. Stephen Gallacher -9 90/1

But the Irishman’s win was as much about Bjorn’s loss, which highlights one important point when it comes to golf betting.

There’s money to be made by opposing short-priced, well-clear tournament leaders ahead of R4.

That might be in the conventional outright win market, it might be laying them early (maybe with a view to backing them laying later) on Betfair.

There’s no doubting that a big lead can cause a golfer problems.

Do they play their usual game? Play more conservatively? Be more aggressive as they have several shots in hand?

And when the wheels do start to come off… and shots are dropped… psychologically, how well can a player re-group and ‘go again’. It can be difficult and has beaten better players than Bjorn over the years – Greg Norman, US Masters 1996 springs to mind.

Golf Betting Scott crowns week with play-off win in Texas

Idenitcal to the PGA Championship in Europe, this week’s US event was also won by a player shooting a R4 66.

But this time Adam Scott didn’t overturn a clear-leader… rather a whole bunch of them!

In one of the most tightly packed leaderboards you’ll ever see there were four co-leaders coming into Sunday (Hideki Matsuyama, Chad Campbell, David Toms and Chris Stoud).

And there were a further six players one shot back… and a further seven players a further shot behind… 17 golfers within two shots of the lead.

But as none of the front four broke 70 in the final round, Scott’s 66 moved him from T11th after R3 to a joint share of the lead after 72 holes with Jason Dufner (who also shot 66).

Extra holes were needed, and Scott bagged the win with a birdie on the third play-off hole to pocket the winner’s cheque for $1.15m.

His 11th PGA Tour win in the Australian’s 221st career start.

Which is a pretty solid strike rate when you take into consideration the time it took the Australian to develop his talents.

Crowne Plaza Invitational – Results

1. Adam Scott -9 18/1
2. Jason Dufner -9 50/1
3. Nicholas Thompson -8 275/1
3. Freddie Jacobson -8 100/1
5. David Lingmerth -7 300/1
5. Ryan Palmer -7 40/1
5. Brendon Todd -7 66/1
5. John Senden -7 50/1
5. David Toms -7 150/1

Scott actually had a pretty lousy record in this event prior to 2014 (T64 2009, T65 2011)… but he added this success to the Shell Houston Open (2007), Byron Nelson (2008) and the Valero Texas Open (2010).

There’s something about Texas which brings out the best in Scott.

Which is a point worth making.

Certain US-based players perform best in certain states, or at particular times of the year or in specific tournaments.

Like Phil Mickelson always doing well early in the PGA Tour season events (January to March) or Tiger Woods in Florida or at the Masters.

There are golfers who need an ideally-suited set of playing conditions to perform at their best… created by time/date, course, location, climate etc.

Which means there are patterns of performance among certain players which can be located, analysed and turned into profitable golf bets.

So ask yourself why does a player play well one week and not the next? Or perform badly on one type of course and not another.

Understand a golfer’s profile and it will improve your betting returns.

Moving onto this week…

On the European Tour the action is in Sweden for the Nordea Masters. Henrik Stenson heading the field in his native country.

Whilst on the PGA Tour, we’re at Dublin, OH for the Memorial Tournament (formerly Colonial) where fresh from his PGA win, Rory McIlroy tops the bookmakers lists.

Don’t forget…

For golf betting tips at all the regular European Tour and PGA Tour events… and the next major, US Open golf betting tips

And to find out how to win at golf betting, join my golf betting service…

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