How To Win On… Golf

It might be some way behind horseracing and football betting… but golf is the third biggest area of punter interest and bookmaker turnover.

And understandably so.

web_golfR180For starters, golf is great to watch, with blanket TV coverage these days…

It’s also played by millions of people (with varying degrees of success!) the world over…

And what’s more, the sport offers you the chance to back winners at upwards of 50 or even 100/1.

Throw in some charismatic players such as Rory McIlroy and Tiger Woods … and it really is an area of betting which deserves your closest attention.

If you’re not actively involved with golf betting tips… then you should be!

Of course, golf tournaments are highly competitive.

Most events on the European PGA Tour or the US PGA Tour have as many as 156 players in them.  That’s quite some field of runners and riders!

There’s a lot of golfers in there that you might never have heard of before (or ever will again)… there’s obscure tournaments all around the world, at odd times of the year… plus the four ultra-tough golf majors, numerous WGC events and, of course, the Ryder Cup.

So where do you start when trying to find yourself some big-priced golf winners?

Well, you want to take a short-cut, I’ve got a golf betting service right here that has been churning out profits for years (click here for latest winning golf bets).

But if you want to try and pick you own winners, here’s some free golf betting tips to help you on your way…

1. Check for any previous course form.

All golf courses are different…

Some are long, others are short.  Some have tight fairways, others are more generous off the tee.

There are those which require a player to be able to ‘draw’ the ball… and others which demand a ‘fade’.  In other words, a player needs to be able to work the ball, in the air, left to right or right to left in order to shoot low numbers.

And of course, not every player will be able to play these different courses to the same standard.  They will do better on some golf courses, not so good on other ‘tracks’.

Hence, you need to work out if a player has a game suited to a particular course (i.e. in previous visits, have they played well there).

And if it’s their first appearance at the course… find out whether they have done well in the past when they’ve played on similar types of golf courses elsewhere.

2. How well is a golfer playing at the moment?

A player’s current form is viewed by many golf tipsters as being just as important, if not more important, than a player’s course record.  Which makes it another vital consideration in picking winning golf bets.

Being an individual sport, if a golfer is playing badly… nobody else is going to save him.  They can’t rely on any team-mates to help them win.

So look at a player’s recent tournament play and note down good finishing positions, inside the top 20 (or preferably the top 10).  Also see whether they have been scoring well… did they have good stats for driving, putting or hitting ‘Greens In Regulation’ (GIR) in their most recent event(s).

A player in good form, on a course they like playing… that’s a recipe in itself for finding plenty of winning golf tips!

3. Past experience/form in the playing conditions.

A lot of golf punters might overlook this point but it’s well worth making.

Just as certain players perform well on certain courses, others can do well (or badly) in different playing conditions.

So whilst the vast majority of golfers play well in what we might consider to be ‘good weather’… that’s not necessarily the case when the conditions are more testing.

Wind is the biggest threat here… a lot of golfers (even a lot of top golfers) struggle when it starts to get a bit breezy out on the course.

And just like anybody else, there are players don’t like it too hot.  The blazing sun can also be a telling factor… some golfers just can’t stand the heat!

And whilst the rain doesn’t have a really big effect (it tends to hamper all players to the same degree) what about humidity… especially in events out in the Far East.

Before placing your bet, it’s often worth considering the prevailing conditions… and checking the weather forecast!

4. Time of the year.

Might sound like quite an insignificant thing, but there are golfers who have a habit of starting the year well… and there are others who are strong finishers to the season.

Now, in part, that might be down to the tournaments they play and/or the places where they play them… but many golf pundits have pointed out the value in targeting certain golfers at certain times of the year.

An example is on the US PGA Tour, with the early season ‘West Coast Swing’ through Hawaii and California… or the European Tour as it takes in tournaments in the Far East towards the end of the calendar.

Some players tend to play well at specific times of the year.  Work out who they are.

5. Is your golfer match-fit? Check their DSLT figures.

That DSLT figure, of course, means their Days Since Last Tournament.

Is the golfer you’re backing about to play their first event after a few weeks on the sidelines… maybe they’re coming back from an injury lay-off or it’s their first tournament of the year.  So perhaps they’re not fully match-fit and ‘on their game’.

But don’t forget, the opposite can apply.

Maybe your chosen golfer has been hard at it… playing tournament after tournament, week after week, all over the world (often the case with top players).  So maybe they’re on their last legs… what you might term as being ‘over-golfed’.

Of course, some golfers can play more often than others, whilst some need a decent break every now and again.  Then there’s guys who can hit the ground running, no matter how long they’ve been away from the course… but there’s golfers who need a run of events to find their form.

So it’s worth looking at a golfer’s recent playing schedule.  In this case not looking so much at how well they’ve played… but how often.

6. Are you backing a winner… have they got the bottle to win?

There’s a saying that winning at golf depends as much upon what you’ve got between your ears… as between your hands.

In other words, it’s a sport, more so at the highest level, where the difference is often down to a golfer’s mental ability… as much as their physical skill.

Ask yourself whether a player is patient enough to grind out a score when he’s not playing well or the conditions are testing… are they able to block out a bad shot or a stupid mistake, so it doesn’t affect the rest of their round… can they hold it together when the pressure starts to build as they approach the final hole.

Remember, all these guys on tour can play the shots… but can they be relied upon to play them when it really matters.  That’s often the difference between winning and losing.

7. Any big changes to a golfer’s routine…

There have been many documented cases of a golfer changing his clubs or his golf ball (primarily due to new sponsorship deals)… and their game goes to pot.

Likewise, golfers who work with their coach, or maybe a new coach, and try to modify their swing or the general way in which they play the game.  That can have disastrous results.

Changes like this often take time to bear fruit, and a golfer who makes such fundamental alterations to their game could well struggle until those changes take full effect.

So it’s worth checking if your chosen golfer if undergoing any switch of ‘hardwear’ or is planning to overhaul their golf swing.

The same can apply for players becoming parents (mainly, for the first time), reaching big birthday milestones (30, 40, 50 etc) or even suffering marital problems… it all can have an effect.

8. What about problems with ‘Mental Let Down’.

The term Mental Let Down (MLD) relates to how a win, or a good result, can actually have a reverse, negative effect on a golfer’s future performance.

It can be a conscious thing… in that a player is emotionally drained after securing their tour card, posting a career best result or winning a first major.

But it might be something more sub-conscious… a golfer eases up a little on the gas, safe in the knowledge that there’s a big cheque in the bank or a nice trophy on the mantelpiece.

Now this might seem to contradict the earlier comment that you should always base your golf tips on players who are in good form…

It’s not quite saying that.  More that some golfers deal with success better than others, and you need to recognise who they are.

9.  Ok then… but what about ‘Inspiration By Comparison’

This can be seen as the opposite to MLD.

Inspiration By Comparison (IBC) is where players improve their performance, after being inspired by the exploits of others.

It might be a fellow-countryman, a player of a similar standard or a guy of the same age… but it’s the general view that ‘if they can do it, so can I’.

As already stated, golf relies a great deal upon a player’s ability to control their mind, as well as the golf ball… and key areas like confidence and, more importantly, belief can greatly improve a golfer’s level of performance.

And if a golfer sees another player (who they can readily relate to) doing well… this can, in turn, inspire them to greater personal levels of achievement.

For sure, this method of looking at golf tournaments won’t produce winners each and every week… but it’s something that the eagle-eyed golf tipster will pick up on.

10.  Don’t be afraid to back golfers at big odds

When it comes to golf betting tips you shouldn’t be put off about backing players at big prices.

Golfers often win tournaments at odds well in excess of 50/1… and sometimes they can be over 100/1.  So when you look at the golf betting markets don’t dismiss players just because they’re available at big  odds.  Because if they meet the criteria listed above, they might just be a great value bet.

Therefore, winning long-term at golf betting will require patience.  You’ll back your fair share of losers, and your overall strike rate might be low, but when you win… you could win big!
web_golfL180 So what have we learned…

These free golf betting tips should have shown how you can win at golf betting, if you have the right strategy.

What’s more, if you do find yourself some winners, then they could be at big odds.

But like a good golfer, you need to have the right mental approach…

Be prepared for a few losers (your strike rate won’t always be high) but when you do win, then the profits can be substantial.

That’s exactly what you can see with our own golf betting service (click here for a full list of results) as the annual profit figure represents a very tidy tax-free sum.

Which means if you’re not already betting on golf… get started!

Would you like more information about winning at golf betting?  Or maybe you’ve got some profitable golf betting tips and methods of your own. If so, I’d like to hear about them.

Get in touch with me anytime by phone or email.

My numbers are 01625 315654 (office) or 07752 768094 (personal mobile) or you can drop me an email to matthew@matthewwalton.co.uk

Matt

Contact Me

Melbourne House
44-46 Grosvenor Square
Stalybridge
Cheshire
SK15 2JN

matthew@matthewwalton.co.uk
01625 315654 (Office)
07752 768094 (Personal Mobile)