Title: Could this 55/1 backyard golfer prove my theory?
Date: November 20th 2013
When it comes to the European Golf Tour…
You’d have thought it would be played in… err… Europe(!) wouldn’t you?
Most of it is but with extra co-sanctioned and affiliated tournaments in places like South Africa, India, Morocco, Dubai… and even China and South Korea… the tour actually ends up being played all over the world.
Well, I want you to keep an eye on something that could easily see you landing a massive priced winner over the next few weeks.
I’ve spotted it before and it’s been confirmed by my golf betting wizard Keith Elliott. He calls them backyard golfers.
Now because I’m a golf fan, and I keep my eye on players and results, I’ve noticed that when the tour is played outside of Europe…
Local players can out-perform many of the better known golfers from Europe.
And here’s the sexy bit…
Because these local players are often unfamiliar to the bookmakers (and most punters)…
They can be backed at big, double-figure odds.
Right, so how can you turn this into an earner?
Well, starting tomorrow…
The European Tour heads off to South Africa for seven tournaments.
And spotting the local players who could do well at massive odds is the key to lining your pockets.
Now before I give you two golfers to watch out for…
Plus an actual bet Keith advised to members only this morning…
Here’s what Keith has dug up from his master database showing how South African golfers, playing on home soil, have performed against European stars and Ryder Cup players…
South Africa Open (being played this year Nov 21st – Nov 24th)
“Henrik Stenson won this last year… but Hennie Otto (2012), Ernie Els (2011), Richard Sterne (2009), James Kingston (2008) were four native South African winners in the previous five years.”
Alfred Dunhill Championship (being played this year Nov 28th – Dec 1st)
“Now this is something of a home banker… local winners include Charl Schwartzel (2012), Garth Mulroy (2011), Richard Sterne (2009) and in 2010 Schwartzel & Anthony Michael were both T2nd.”
Nelson Mandela Championship (being played this year Dec 12th – Dec 15th)
“This tournament has only been played once before (2012) and it was reduced to just 36 holes due to poor weather… Tim Clark T4th the best of the home players.”
Volvo Golf Champions (being played Jan 9th – 12th 2014)
“Only played three times to date… and there have been two South African winners, Louis Oosthuizen (2013) and Branden Grace (2012).”
Joburg Open (being played Feb 6th – 9th 2014)
“First held in 2007… another strong event for SA players. Winners are Richard Sterne (2013 & 2008), Branden Grace (2012), Charl Schwartzel (2011 & 2010) with Andrew McLardy T2nd in 2009 & 2007.”
Africa Open (being played Feb 13th – 16th 2014)
“A clean sweep! Played four times, won by a South African every time… Darren Fichardt (2013), Oosthuizen (2012 & 2011), Schwartzel (2010).”
Tshwane Open (being played Feb 27th – Mar 2nd 2014)
“First played in 2013…. Dawie van Der Walt led a South African 1-2 ahead of Darren Fichardt.”
And Keith summed it up by saying…
“Despite a number of high-profile European players competing, the home players enjoy a significant advantage in these tournaments.
“And on researching these seven events… the final leaderboard of most of them featured plenty of less well-known, home golfers playing in their own backyard.”
OK. Keep your eye on this lot…
I spoke to Keith on Monday, and I asked him for a couple of players for you to follow in these South African tournaments over the next few weeks.
The first is Jaco Van Zyl…
A multiple winner on the Sunshine Tour [South Africa’s version of the European Tour] who has winning form.
And the other?
He’s another player who knows how to win and, like Van Zyl, will regularly be on offer at big odds.
What about the bet I mentioned?
Well, this morning I fired off an email at 10am to members of Keith Elliott’s Premier Golf service with a bet for the South Africa Open.
And I’m giving it to you now, just as if you were one of Keith’s members.
It’s in the Round 1 Leader market… and the bet is…
ULRICH VAN DEN BERG – 1 POINT EACH WAY
56 SKY, SJA, BVC
As you can see…
It’s for a local, South African player at huge odds – 56 (that’s 55/1).
And here’s the reasoning given by Keith…
1. 38-year-old Ulrich recently won the BMG Classic played over three rounds on this course by 5 clear shots. However, the key point was that he shot 65 in R1 to be T1st after that opening round.
2. On his latest start on the Sunshine Tour he was 2nd in the Nedbank Affinity Cup and again he started well with a 67 so he was placed T4th after R1.
3. His overall recent form is sound with form figs of 4-3-24-10-W-20-2 giving him 4 top 4s in those last 7 starts.
4. He has a ‘peach’ of a tee time as he goes out in the 3rd group off the 10th tee at 6.40am local time so he will be playing the course before all the later traffic has trampled all over it.
OVERALL VERDICT – Ulrich is in form, proven on this course, and has recently shot low opening rounds so 56 (55/1) for an early starter who opened here with a 65 a month ago looks real value in the R1 Leader market.
So there you have it.
If the evidence is anything to go by…
South African golfers should end up high in the finishing positions over the next seven tournaments on their home soil.
And you, me and Keith’s members could easily catch the bookies on the hop.